To determine if carvedilol reduces the rate of variceal haemorrhage in patients with cirrhosis and small oesophageal varices
Cirrhosis or liver scarring is an important problem in healthcare in the United Kingdom. 60,000 patients are living with this disease and about 11,000 people every year will die because of it. There are several ways in which patients with this severe form of liver disease become unwell or die and bleeding from the oesophagus or stomach is one. Cirrhosis causes pressure changes inside the abdomen and swelling of veins in the oesophagus (called "varices") which can bleed catastrophically. The investigators know that when varices are large, treatment can be initiated with medication called beta-blockers to reduce the pressure in the varices. If the varices are small, the medical community is not sure if treatment with beta-blockers will work. This study aims to address this uncertainty. Patients who are recruited to the study with small varices will be randomised to either beta-blockers or a placebo. Research sites will observe patients closely for 3 years for bleeding from their varices or other complications of cirrhosis or side effects of taking medication. This is the amount of time needed to observe for bleeding when the varices are small. Research sites will review the patients every 6 months including assessing the varices by a camera test called an endoscopy at the beginning and each year until the study is finished. During the study, patients will be involved with the conduct and management of the research. Patient will also be notified on the trial results at the end of the study. The barriers and facilitators in adjusting the dose of the tablets to optimise treatment effects primary care will be along with patients' views on taking part in the trial, and whether the side effects justify the potential benefits of reducing the risk of bleeding. The investigators estimate this risk could be reduced from 20% of patients having significant bleeding to 10% over 3 years. The investigators will measure the impact of beta-blockers on the overall costs to the National Health Service (NHS) of caring for people with cirrhosis during the trial, and will also assess the impact of treatment on both mortality and quality of life using a combined measure, the Quality Adjusted Life-Year (QALY). The investigators will use a mathematical prediction model to estimate the impact of treatment on costs, mortality and quality of life over a patient's lifetime and will assess whether any increased costs are justified by better outcomes for patients and represent good value for money for the NHS budget. Finally, the results of the study will be published in the medical literature and discuss the findings at medical conferences, patient groups and with charities involved in helping patients with cirrhosis such as the British Liver Trust.
Study Type
INTERVENTIONAL
Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Purpose
PREVENTION
Masking
QUADRUPLE
Enrollment
1,200
Oral tablet
Royal Victoria Hospital
Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom
NOT_YET_RECRUITINGQueen Elizabeth Hospital
Birmingham, United Kingdom
NOT_YET_RECRUITINGRoyal London Hospital (Barts)
London, United Kingdom
NOT_YET_RECRUITINGVariceal bleeding
Time to first variceal haemorrhage
Time frame: 3 years
Health Economic assessment
Assess the cost effectiveness of early intervention with non specific beta blockers in this patient population.
Time frame: 3 years
Variceal bleed rate
Number of variceal bleeds by allocation
Time frame: 1 and 3 years
Variceal bleeding needing intervention
Number of patients that progress to medium/large varices requiring clinical intervention
Time frame: 3 years
Composite of variceal bleed rate and bleeding needing intervention
Composite of variceal bleed rate and bleeding needing intervention. i.e. Unit less measure of rate of ((Number of patients who bled) PLUS (Number of patients who progressed without bleeding)) / (Number of patients in that arm at randomisation) at 3 years ranging from 0 to 1
Time frame: 3 years
Clinical decompensation
Number of patients with clinical decompensation (spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, new ascites, new hepatic encephalopathy) in the active and inactive IMP groups
Time frame: 3 years
Child Pugh Score for Cirrhosis mortality
Child Pugh Score for Cirrhosis mortalityin the active and inactive IMP groups. Range 5-15. Higher scores represent worse outcomes.
Time frame: 3 years
This platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional.
King's College Hosptial NHS Foundation Trust (Denmark Hill)
London, United Kingdom
RECRUITINGModel for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score
MELD score in the active and inactive IMP groups.Range 6-40. Higher scores represent worse outcomes.
Time frame: 3 years
Survival (Overall, liver related, cardio-vascular related)
Survival (Overall, liver related, cardio-vascular related)
Time frame: 3 years
Quality of life assessment
Quality of life score using EQ5D-5L in the active and inactive IMP groups. Range 5-25. Higher scores represent worse outcomes.
Time frame: 3 years