AUR87A is an observational prospective multicenter diagnostics test cohort study for detection of renal cell carcinoma recurrence as determined by the reference standard, which is imaging using computed tomography (CT) of the chest and abdomen at defined intervals after primary surgery.
Non-metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) recur in \~20% of cases within 5 years after radical surgery. Current postoperative follow-up protocols, being schematic and at best based on risk of recurrence scores, are sub-optimal for early detection of recurrences which could potentially be available for curative management. Blood and urine collected glycosaminoglycans (GAGs) are promising novel class of biomarkers from which a new diagnostic test based on so called GAG scores has been developed. GAG scores have accurately distinguished localized/locally-advanced and advanced RCC from healthy subjects. AUR87A features an adaptive design. The primary endpoint analysis is conducted when 30 events (i.e. recurrences) are reached - expected at 140 patients with a minimum follow-up of 12 months (cohort 1). An interim analysis at 15 events is conducted to verify whether the sensitivity and specificity estimates are in line with the study assumptions. In case of futility, the GAG scores formulations and/or cut-offs are optimized based on data from cohort 1. The primary endpoints are then validated on a second independent cohort, powered depending on the results from cohort 1. This second cohort is estimated in 140 patients (cohort 2). In case of non-futility, cohort 2 may be used as external validation. AUR87A will prospectively enroll an estimated 280 non-metastatic ccRCC patients curatively treated with surgery (partial or radical nephrectomy). Patients are followed-up longitudinally using GAG scores in blood and urine every 3 months after surgery, alongside the current standard follow-up protocol, i.e. imaging, as reference standard. The hypothesis of AUR87A is that postoperative increase of the GAG scores, so called "GAG recurrence ", can predict or detect recurrence at an earlier time-point compared to the reference standard, referred to as "radiological recurrence", and thereby improve the clinical utility of current follow-up protocols.
Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Enrollment
280
blood and urine samples to determine GAG scores
Emory University School of Medicine
Atlanta, Georgia, United States
Sensitivity and specificity of GAG recurrence
Sensitivity and specificity of GAG recurrence to LP≥5 ccRCC radiological or histologically verified recurrence with a minimum follow-up time of 12 months
Time frame: minimum follow-up of 12 months
Absolute and relative risk increase (ARI/RRI) of radiological recurrence
Absolute and relative risk increase (ARI/RRI) of radiological recurrence in patients with GAG recurrence versus no GAG recurrence
Time frame: within 6 months since last GAG score evaluation
Recurrence-free survival (RFS)
Recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the LP≥5 ccRCC for GAG recurrence vs. no GAG recurrence with a minimum follow-up time of 12 months
Time frame: minimum follow-up of 12 months
Positive and negative predictive value (PPV/NPV) of GAG recurrence
Positive and negative predictive value (PPV/NPV) of GAG recurrence to LP ≥5 ccRCC radiological recurrence
Time frame: minimum follow-up of 12 months
Area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of GAG scores
Area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of GAG scores to LP ≥5 ccRCC radiological recurrence
Time frame: minimum follow-up of 12 months
RFS, overall survival (OS) and cancer specific survival (CSS)
RFS, overall survival (OS) and cancer specific survival (CSS) in patients with GAG recurrence versus no GAG recurrence
Time frame: follow-up time of 2 years and 5 years respectively after primary surgery
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Concordance-index (C-index) of preoperative GAG scores
Concordance-index (C-index) of preoperative GAG scores versus risk nomograms for RFS and for CSS
Time frame: follow-up time of 2 years and 5 years respectively after primary surgery
Lead-time GAG vs. radiological recurrence among true positives
Lead-time GAG vs. radiological recurrence among true positives
Time frame: minimum follow-up of 12 months