Analysis and Accuracy of Mortality Prediction Scores

Ministry of Health, Kuwait211 enrolled

Overview

Patients admitted to the ICU in a tertiary burn centre in Kuwait were analysed using multiple mortality prediction scores. The accuracy of these scores were compared to each other to ascertain which prediction modality provides the most accurate prognosis.

The aim of this study is to determine the accuracy of three established scoring systems used for burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit and to determine the risk factors associated with poor outcomes. A total of 211 patients with who were admitted to the ICBU in a tertiary care centre in Kuwait from January 2017 to December 2019 were analysed retrospectively. Data were collected using patient medical records. The FLAMES, BOBI and revised Baux scores were calculated, and the survivor and non-survivor scores of patients were analysed to determine the sensitivity, specificity and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) of the different scoring modalities.

Study Type

OBSERVATIONAL

Enrollment

211

Conditions

Burns Morality

Interventions

Mortality scoresOTHER

Revised Baux, BOBI and FLAMES scores

Eligibility

Sex: ALL

Medical Language ↔ Plain English

Inclusion Criteria: Pediatric burn patients with partial/full thickness burns\>10% TBSA Adult patients with partial/full thickness burns \>15% TBSA Patients with electric burns Patients iwth burns involving the voice Any patient with suspected inhalational injury Burn patients with significant comorbidities Exclusion criteria: Patients with incomplete data records

Locations (1)

AlBabtain Centre for burns and plastic Surgery

Kuwait City, Kuwait

Outcomes

Primary Outcomes

Area under curve of the 3 aforementioned mortality prediction scores

Time frame: 4 years

Data from ClinicalTrials.gov

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