This study aimed to investigate new-onset heart blocks after noncardiac surgery, identify risk factors, and develop a prediction model.
Objective: This study aimed to investigate new-onset heart blocks after noncardiac surgery, identify risk factors, and develop a prediction model. Methods: A retrospective cohort study included 281,497 patients aged 18 or older who underwent noncardiac surgery at a single center between Jan 2008 and Aug 2019. The main outcome was postoperative new-onset heart blocks within one year, including atrioventricular and bundle blocks. Prognostic impact was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and time-dependent Cox regression analysis. Perioperative data was used for machine learning models (logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, decision tree). Model performance was measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Enrollment
281,497
New-onset heart blocks
The number of new-onset heart blocks within one year after surgery, including first-, second-, and third-degree AV blocks and left- and right-branch bundle blocks
Time frame: within one year after surgery
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