BACKGROUND: Patients with trivial branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD IPMN) which remain s stable over 5 years reportedly do not have an increased risk of developing pancreatic cancer (PC) compared to the general population. In these patients, d iscontinuation of surveillance seems feasible . However, prospective studies to confirm the safety of this approach are lacking. AIM: To assess whether current surveillance policies for stable, trivial BD IPMN can be discontinued safely after 5 years of follow up . METHODS: TRIVIAL is an international prospective multicenter single arm trial exploring discontinuation of surveillance in patients with at least 5 years stable trivial BD IPMN. The trial will include 394 adult patients at least 70 years of age with BD IPMN ≤ 30 millimeter without worrisome features or high risk stigmata during 5 years. The primary endpoint is rate of PC and futile surgery (i.e., surgery for low grade dysplasia IPMN or other non malignant pathology) during 5 year follow up. The predefined target is a rate of 1% and below 3%. STRENGTHS: The burden for patients to participate in this trial is negligible. P atients will only be asked to answer self reported digital surveys once per year during five years . The potential benefits for patients are twofold: the psychological impact of potentially unnecessary surveillance will be spared to patients , whereas the socio economic burden of repeated imaging will be avoided. Moreover, the study will provide data contributing to the development of new, evidence based surveillance strateg ies At the end of follow up patients undergo MRCP to assess disease course (i.e., development of worrisome features, high risk stigmata, PC). LIMITATIONS: The most prominent risk of IPMN is the development of pancreatic cancer However this risk will not be omitted fully by the TRIVIAL trial eligibility criteria as participants still have the same risk as the general population. This requires adequate counselling
Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Enrollment
394
The intervention is discontinuation of current surveillance policies which consist of annual imaging with MRI/MRCP and clinical assessment.
Incidence of pancreatic cancer
Primary endpoint is pancreatic cancer (PC), including IPMN derived PC high grade dysplasia (HGD) or concurrent PC, confirmed by pathology (e.g., surgery, fine needle biopsy), at 5 years follow up. Concurrent PC is defined as invasive PC that develops independently from the associated IPMN with a non dilated , segment of the pancreatic duct present between the two lesions. Therefore, a clear distinction will be made on what type of PC occurred (i.e., IPMN derived, HGD, concurrent PC).
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of futile surgery
Futile surgery is defined as surgery for IPMN with low grade dysplasia (LGD) confirmed at final pathology, or other non malignant diagnosis (i.e., pseudocysts , serous cystadenoma).
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Pancreatic cancer related mortality
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
All causes mortality
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Time to progression or surgery
in months
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of low grade and high grade dysplasia at pathology
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of individual worrisome and high risk features and of individual relative and absolute indications
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of pancreatic surgery
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Serum CA 19.9 value
in U/L
Time frame: At baseline and through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Cyst growth
mm/year
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI)
Time frame: At baseline and through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Rate of misdiagnosis (only in resected patients) patients)
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of additional follow up and diagnostic work up
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
Incidence of symptoms suspect for PC during follow up
Time frame: Through study completion at 5 years after inclusion
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