Coronary artery disease (CAD) is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Many people have early atherosclerosis without symptoms, and some may develop significant coronary stenosis before any warning signs appear. Identifying high-risk individuals at an early stage is important to prevent heart attacks and other cardiovascular events. Coronary CT angiography (CCTA) can directly evaluate plaque type and the degree of narrowing in the coronary arteries, but it is expensive, requires contrast injection, and involves higher radiation, making it unsuitable for large-scale screening. In contrast, non-contrast chest CT is widely used for health check-ups and lung disease follow-up. Such scans often provide clear views of certain coronary segments, which creates an opportunity to screen for CAD without additional cost or risk. This multicenter study aims to develop and validate deep learning models to analyze coronary calcified segments that are visible on non-contrast chest CT. Two main objectives are: (1) to predict whether calcified segments contain mixed plaque components (both calcified and non-calcified); and (2) to predict whether these segments have significant narrowing (≥50% stenosis) as determined by CCTA. The study will also describe how often ≥50% stenosis is found in non-calcified segments, in order to demonstrate their low-risk nature. The study includes retrospective data collected between 2015 and 2024, and a prospective external validation cohort starting in 2025. Approximately 1,417 patients with paired chest CT and CCTA have already been included for model development and testing. An additional 200 or more patients will be prospectively recruited for external validation. This research may provide evidence that deep learning applied to routine non-contrast chest CT can serve as an opportunistic tool for early CAD risk screening in the general population.
This study involves analysis of imaging data obtained from patients who undergo non-contrast chest CT and CCTA as part of their routine clinical care. No additional imaging, radiation, or intervention is performed. The institutional review board approved the study and waived the requirement for written informed consent due to minimal risk and use of de-identified data.
Study Type
OBSERVATIONAL
Enrollment
200
Analysis of clearly visualized coronary segments on non-contrast chest CT using deep learning models, compared with CCTA reference standard.
The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University
Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
RECRUITINGThe First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University
Ningbo, Zhejiang, China
RECRUITINGAccuracy of plaque composition prediction
Discrimination ability of the deep learning model to classify calcified coronary segments as purely calcified or mixed plaque, using CCTA as the reference standard. Evaluated with AUC, sensitivity, specificity.
Time frame: Baseline non-contrast chest CT to reference CCTA (within 30 days)
Accuracy of ≥50% stenosis prediction
Discrimination ability of the deep learning model to predict ≥50% luminal stenosis in calcified coronary segments, using CCTA as the reference standard. Evaluated with AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV.
Time frame: Baseline non-contrast chest CT to reference CCTA (within 30 days)
Incidence of ≥50% stenosis in non-calcified segments
Descriptive statistics of ≥50% stenosis prevalence in non-calcified coronary artery segments.
Time frame: Baseline non-contrast chest CT to CCTA (within 30 days)
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